Analysis of Iran’s civil aviation accidents and serious ‎incidents from 1979 to 2021 using failure mode and ‎effects analysis and multi-attribute decision making ‎methods

Nosrati Malekjahan, Amirhosein; Husseinzadeh Kashan, Ali; Ostadi, Bakhtiar

doi:10.22034/joae.2023.171333

Analysis of Iran’s civil aviation accidents and serious ‎incidents from 1979 to 2021 using failure mode and ‎effects analysis and multi-attribute decision making ‎methods

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

Amirhosein Nosrati Malekjahan ¹

Ali Husseinzadeh Kashan ²

Bakhtiar Ostadi ³

¹ Faculty of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran;

² Tarbiat Modares University

³ Faculty of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Tarbiat Modares University

10.22034/joae.2023.171333

Abstract

Since humans have begun to fly and construct various aircraft, the occurred accidents and incidents ‎have always resulted in irreparable injuries and damages. Therefore, today, aviators especially airlines ‎continuously trying to maintain the maximum level of safety and reduce the rate of accidents by ‎spending resources. In this research, by analyzing the available reports and information for 46 accidents ‎and serious incidents in Iran's civil aviation between 1979 and 2021, first, a statistical-analytical ‎evaluation is performed, then influential factors like failures and errors in these occurrences are analyzed ‎by using failure mode and effects analysis and multi-attribute decision making. The statistical population of this research includes a panel of experts and experts in the field of aviation and air accidents, and a questionnaire was used to collect the required information. According to findings, ‎human is the most important factor, Fokker100 is the most engaged aircraft and pilots with low ages and ‎experiences are the most vulnerable factors in mentioned occurrences; in addition, failures in landing ‎system and engines and also the pilot error in not following the structures were the most important ‎factors.‎

Keywords

Aviation accident and serious incident

Safety

Failure modes and effects analysis

multi-attribute ‎decision making

20.1001.1.17359449.1402.25.1.12.9

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